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Super Tuesday Scorecard

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I watched Katie Couric’s coverage of “Super Tuesday” last night for as long as I could bear before switching off the tube and cracking open a good book. But I couldn’t help notice the way the talking heads were already declaring the Republican candidates that are trailing McCain all but dead, and floating the question, “Why don’t they just bow out?” It remains clear, at least to me, that having McCain become the Republican Party nominee would please dems no end by assuring a liberal in the White House.

What’s that? You say McCain isn’t a liberal, he’s a Republican? Well, yes and no. He’s actually a mixed bag. Conservatives don’t like his stance on illegal immigration (he sided with Kennedy, you’ll recall, in trying to push though the dems’ plan to eliminate the illegal immigration problem by simply granting illegal immigrants legal status), and he was on the wrong side on tax cuts and campaign finance reform. Still, he brings some good things to the table, so it will be interesting to see how things unfold in the coming weeks.

The race between Clinton and Obama is far more complicated. I can’t say I wasn’t surprised to see Clinton win in New York and California, both big delegate states. But the Democratic party has some convoluted rules designed, I think, to keep anyone from knowing who’s actually winning until much farther down the road. Candidates don’t, in most cases, win all the delegates in a given state; they’re instead parsed out between the candidates using a formula I don’t claim to understand. So at this point, even the talking heads have to acknowledge that Obama is still neck and neck with Clinton although, to many, she would appear to be way ahead. That race may not be decided until the very end.

So where does this leave us after “Super Tuesday?” Here’s what we know (or think we know) so far according to Reuters:

  • Economic worries — plunging housing values, rising energy and food prices, jittery financial markets and new data showing a big contraction in the service sector — eclipsed the Iraq war as voters’ top concern in both parties, exit polls showed.

  • “Polls of Democratic voters on Tuesday made it clear that the politics of identity — race, gender, class — was driving the contest between Senators Barack Obama and Hillary Rodham Clinton. In the Republican contests, the far-right fringe is trying to maul their party’s front-runner, Senator John McCain,” said the New York Times in an editorial.

  • Obama scored victories in Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, Utah and his home state of Illinois.

  • Clinton won Arizona, Arkansas, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Tennessee and her home state of New York. She went into Super Tuesday battling a wave of momentum for Obama, who had surged in national polls on his message of change. New Mexico was still too close to call, media said.

  • Obama maintained his strong showing among black voters but also expanded support among whites, winning 40 percent in Georgia, exit polls said. Clinton won heavy support from women and Hispanics, exit polls showed.

  • McCain won in Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New York and Oklahoma.

  • Huckabee, a Baptist preacher, won in Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee and West Virginia.

  • Romney won in Alaska, Colorado, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota and Massachusetts, where he served as governor, and Utah, which has a heavy concentration of Mormons. Romney would be the first Mormon president.

  • Huckabee’s wins were fueled by strong support from evangelical Christians, and he split votes with Romney among conservatives unhappy with McCain.

So there you have it. Can we declare a winner? Nope, just the momentary front runners. Was “Super Tuesday” exciting? No, more like watching grass grow. What’s next? Just more of the same, and maybe a couple surprises although the msm will be working hard to convince us it’s already a done deal.

Posted on Feb 6, 2008 at 10:00AM by Registered CommenterDoug in | Comments12 Comments

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Reader Comments (12)

Here's the most exciting part of Katy's show last night. We got to watch her, Vanna style, touch buttons (camera strategically placed over her shoulder) to switch between Democrat and Republican results. Wow, technology meets crackerjack reporting. Amazing journalism!

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterTeddy

I didn't watch any of it. I knew you would have something to say about it. :=O

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterFrank B.

This morning on the Today Show, Tim Russert said that, with the delegate count still under way, Obama appears to have won around 840 delegates in yesterday's contests, while Clinton earned about 830, "give or take a few."

I realize that the count is still underway, and I understand that the dems formula is complicated and all, but why the big rush for these guys to speculate about a winner?

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterDarlene V.

Because of two things: they want to appear smarter than everyone else, and also they want to influence future voters, those who tend to vote for whoever thay believe will be the winner, to the candidate THEY want to win.

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterJarrod P.

For Obama to be that close to Clinton after she won both New York and California is amazing and bodes well for him in the rest of the race.

Republicans may well be looking at the winner in McClain. If Romney is going to stay alive, he will need some key wins, and soon.

I like Huckabee, but it isn't looking good for him right now. But miracles happen.

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterTodd

Come on, does anyone really think Hillary could be Commander in Chief? She is no Joan of Arc.

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterBarry

It is unrealistic to try to draw conclusions this early. The leaders may change completely. All it does is show who took the lead early in the race. Like a foot race, someone comes out of the blocks first yet may not end up the winner.

Above all, no one should let yesterday's outcomes have any bearing on who they vote for in their own states.

The race has only just begun.

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterLawrence L.

I don't like Hillary Clinton, but it would be nice if she gets real close before losing to Obama, just to show that a woman is capable of being taken seriously for president.

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterJasmine

I have to admit to being shocked and awed that Clinton is doing as well as she is. I never would have believed she could gain traction. I have a feeling that Obama will overtake her in the weeks to come though.

The same goes for McCain. He has pissed off so many conservatives, I really thought he had shot himself in the foot.

WTF?

February 6 | Unregistered Commenterharmond876

Watch and weep. Hillary will win and we will all have health care and the troops will come home.

GO HILLARY!

February 6 | Unregistered Commentertaylor j.

Now there is a scary thought! Hillary as Commander in Chief...The hair on the back of my neck is standing straight up and my body was momentarily paralyzed at the very (shudder) thought of it!

Not to mention the money she would have to pull out of the air to fund her promised national health care. No country in the world has ever made that work. Ask Canada how much of their national budget goes to pay for health care!

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterMarshall

I will call it now: Obama vs McCain. And Obama will win and become the first black president.

February 6 | Unregistered CommenterFranklin

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